Striped-Maintainer
0xb195b401266ba8a35d03027205f87908267bb9d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$420.44
Total PnL
$-599.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
27125 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$420.44
$-179.54
- NO
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by July 31?
2231 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
199 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
164 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
94 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
51 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.28Jul 9, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.61Jul 9, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.50Jul 9, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40.96Jul 9, 09:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 8, 00:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $25.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.