Rowdy-Detective
0xb1fa621b8c5afd23a42f3720d207dc09146e1d22
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$14.73
Total PnL
$-36.86
Realised
$-7.01
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
20 shares @ 27.9¢·now 26.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.20
$-0.38
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
12 shares @ 25.9¢·now 26.6¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$3.19
$0.07
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
70 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.57
$-2.66
- YES
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?
8 shares @ 16.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.42
$0.12
- NO
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
152 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.22
$-2.42
- YES
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 13.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.90
$-1.70
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
18 shares @ 6.4¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.48
$-0.68
- YES
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
19 shares @ 4.9¢·now 2.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.42
$-0.52
- YES
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
20 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.19
$-1.57
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.11
$-0.85
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$6.00Jun 14, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$1.96Jun 13, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$2.09Jun 13, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$3.52Jun 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$2.27Jun 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$2.45Jun 13, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$2.06Jun 13, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$4.18Jun 13, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 13?$1.05Jun 13, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3.11Jun 13, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 13?$1.67Jun 13, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 13?$1.25Jun 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$0.12Jun 12, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$1.23Jun 12, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$0.74Jun 12, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$0.14Jun 12, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$2.64Jun 12, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$2.24Jun 12, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$2.25Jun 12, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$2.08Jun 12, 14:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 13:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 02:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.