Ironclad-Gunpowder
0xb21c0686faccd0bb15fd1029588745022eec3439
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$177.44
Total PnL
$-10.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
111 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$109.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
10 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$9.57
$0.57
- YES
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?
9 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$8.64
$1.64
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?
8 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$8.17
$0.17
- NO
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
8 shares @ 98.9¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$7.87
$-0.13
- VIRGINIA
Larger Margin of Victory: Virginia or New Jersey Governor?
7 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$7.07
$0.07
- YES
Will the California Proposition 50 referendum have the largest Democratic margin of victory?
7 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$7.02
$0.02
- MAMDANI
Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Spanberger?
7 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$7.01
$0.01
- NO
Zohran Mamdani Parlay
6 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$6.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the Patient Focus (PF) win a seat in Norwegian Election?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$6.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".