0xb21dae4bc51f2114f4382bf2039beabc3ccb4aa7
0xb21dae4bc51f2114f4382bf2039beabc3ccb4aa7
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$43.51
Total PnL
$10.92
Realised
$1.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will Lindsay James be the Democratic Nominee for IA-02?
6 shares @ 3.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$6.00
$5.81
- NO
Will Atlético Madrid score the most goals in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?
6 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.00
$0.42
- YES
Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
6 shares @ 19.7¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.04
$3.86
- NO
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.1% and 2.3%?
6 shares @ 94.9¢·now 74.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.49
$-1.20
- YES
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?
6 shares @ 19.5¢·now 65.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$3.93
$2.76
- YES
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?
6 shares @ 15.8¢·now 54.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.25
$2.30
- YES
Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 5.1¢·now 36.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.19
$1.89
- YES
Will Kyoji Horiguchi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 5.1¢·now 34.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.08
$1.78
- YES
Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 5.1¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.77
$1.47
- YES
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?
6 shares @ 15.8¢·now 23.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.38
$0.43
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?$3.24Apr 3, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.1% and 2.3%?$5.69Apr 3, 21:16 UTC
- CONVERSIONHow many Republican House members not running in 2026?$6.00Apr 3, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be 44 or more?$5.69Apr 3, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atlético Madrid score the most goals in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?$5.58Apr 3, 21:14 UTC
- CONVERSIONCyprus House of Representatives Election Winner$6.00Apr 3, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ELAM win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?$5.89Apr 3, 21:13 UTC
- CONVERSIONIA-02 Democratic Primary Winner$6.00Apr 3, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Guy Morgan be the Democratic Nominee for IA-02?$5.87Apr 3, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?$5.52Apr 3, 21:12 UTC
- CONVERSIONMinnesota Governor Democratic Primary Winner$6.00Apr 3, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Gates Jr. win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?$5.97Apr 3, 21:10 UTC
- CONVERSIONMLB: 2026 AL West Champion$6.00Apr 3, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 AL West title?$5.84Apr 3, 21:09 UTC
- CONVERSIONHow many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary? $6.00Apr 3, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly one nominating election in the 2026 cycle?$5.92Apr 3, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brandon Moreno be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.01Apr 3, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brandon Royval be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.01Apr 3, 21:08 UTC
- CONVERSIONWho will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?$6.00Apr 3, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manel Kape be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$5.46Apr 3, 21:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 19:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 21:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.