Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 AL West title?
Probability
35¢
1h
+7.0pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$118.50
Liquidity
$530.86
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 35¢; +7.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 4035h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 16.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 4035.1h
- 20:55SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 4035h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 34¢.
Biggest hourly move: -8.5pp at 11:00 (to 28¢).
Show all 23 hour-by-hour ticks
- 20:00 · -5.5pp → 28¢
- 19:00 · -6.0pp → 28¢
- 14:00 · -5.0pp → 28¢
- 12:00 · -5.5pp → 28¢
- 11:00 · -8.5pp → 28¢
- 09:00 · -7.0pp → 29¢
- 06:00 · -3.5pp → 29¢
- 05:00 · -7.0pp → 29¢
- 02:00 · -4.0pp → 30¢
- 21:00 · +3.5pp → 34¢
- 1d ago · -4.0pp → 32¢
- 1d ago · -3.0pp → 36¢
- 1d ago · +6.0pp → 35¢
- 1d ago · +6.0pp → 35¢
- 1d ago · +6.0pp → 35¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 34¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 35¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 35¢
- 2d ago · +3.0pp → 32¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 35¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 36¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League West division. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League West division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Oct 11, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (16.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.