Murky-Hydrocarbon
0xb22fdf2577268d3c24d1d0942fe4becb7d4b29be
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$31.30
Total PnL
$-505.59
Realised
$69.94
Win rate
89%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
38 shares @ 35.8¢·now 71.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.25
$13.57
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 37.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$2.90
$-34.10
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
230 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.15
$-77.05
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 17?
1630 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-52.36
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1100 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-24.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
490 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-142.81
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
400 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-28.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 21?
341 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.09
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 17?
300 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 39°F or below on January 19?
297 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-8.91
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$2.70Mar 26, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$4.22Mar 25, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.00Mar 8, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$2.58Mar 8, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$3.38Mar 8, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$2.00Mar 4, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$2.09Mar 4, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$1.00Mar 4, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$1.00Mar 4, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$2.82Mar 4, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$2.00Mar 4, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$2.36Mar 4, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$1.00Mar 4, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$0.40Mar 4, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$1.00Mar 4, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$1.37Mar 4, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$1.00Mar 4, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?$3.31Mar 4, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?$2.00Mar 4, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?$4.05Mar 4, 12:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 20:43 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 06:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".