Rundown-Hobbit-Physics
0xb241cef82664ce59b260a120634a4352105f902c
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$13.08
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
7 shares @ 74.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 39.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.26
$0.26
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?
6 shares @ 68.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.85
$-0.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
1329 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
841 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-430.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
761 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-210.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
706 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-269.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
548 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-230.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
492 shares @ 40.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
435 shares @ 41.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-180.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$103.08Jun 4, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$0.00Jun 4, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$15.60Jun 4, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$206.86Jun 4, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$105.87Jun 4, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$186.17Jun 4, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$105.56Jun 4, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$72.99Jun 4, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$62.18Jun 4, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$51.97Jun 4, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$51.91Jun 4, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$309.25Jun 4, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1AM ET$57.90Jun 4, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by July 31?$4.00Jun 4, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.05Jun 4, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$4.12Jun 4, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$41.32Jun 3, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$41.48Jun 3, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$12.03Jun 3, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$41.70Jun 3, 16:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $68.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 18:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 06:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".