Knotty-Harp
0xb25480906cf055e639b941d13d01b3b76fec2238
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$16.95
Total PnL
$-20.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
41 shares @ 37.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 20, 2029$13.58
$-1.42
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$2.18
$0.20
- NO
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.19
$-0.81
- NO
North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?
372 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
333 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by June 30, 2026?
16 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$0.00Apr 13, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$2.00Apr 13, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 8, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 8, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 8, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 8, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$6.00Apr 8, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$1.00Apr 8, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?$1.00Apr 8, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by June 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 8, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by May 31, 2026?$1.00Apr 8, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 8, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump resign by December 31, 2026?$1.00Apr 8, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?$15.00Apr 8, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 8, 08:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $2.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 08:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 12:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.