0xb25f907e5819c16416f4168500f698aa9b61a460
0xb25f907e5819c16416f4168500f698aa9b61a460
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$114.02
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$89.56
Win rate
92%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?
48 shares @ 45.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$48.24
$26.17
- NO
Will Margot Robbie attend the Oscars?
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$35.70
$25.70
- YES
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$25.64
$15.64
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
51 shares @ 43.1¢·now 4.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.44
$-19.69
- YES
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?
17 shares @ 41.6¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.99
$-5.21
- YES
US x Iran meeting by February 21, 2026?
2511 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-59.98
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?
1002 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?
970 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-29.99
- YES
Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?
838 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-12.48
- YES
Will I Can Only Imagine 2 be the highest grossing movie this weekend?
695 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?$5.12May 25, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?$2.25May 24, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$3.00May 6, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$2.27May 6, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$0.72May 6, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$0.94May 6, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$0.75May 6, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$2.86May 6, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.02May 6, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.30May 6, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.02May 6, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.02May 6, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$3.06May 6, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$2.79May 6, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.02May 6, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.02May 6, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.02May 6, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$2.79May 6, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.02May 6, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.02May 6, 04:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 19:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 07:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.