Clear-Cut-Watchmaker
0xb263b9d77f744e26dc26de3f1cf039508e14bb32
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
59
Open notional
$968.84
Total PnL
$-4.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
286 shares @ 35.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$192.86
$92.86
- NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
244 shares @ 41.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$150.00
$50.00
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
240 shares @ 51.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$126.00
$3.60
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
238 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$122.81
$-1.19
- YES
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
327 shares @ 49.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$111.16
$-49.04
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
192 shares @ 49.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$93.27
$-0.96
- YES
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
131 shares @ 52.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$88.02
$19.71
- 76ERS
Knicks vs. 76ers
61 shares @ 49.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$25.71
$-4.29
- GOLDEN KNIGHTS
Golden Knights vs. Ducks
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$20.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
38 shares @ 47.5¢·now 48.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$18.25
$0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$10.002h ago
- YIELD$0.0412h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$18.381d ago
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Ducks$20.301d ago
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. 76ers$30.461d ago
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$18.321d ago
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Timberwolves$29.131d ago
- YIELD$0.042d ago
- YIELD$0.043d ago
- YIELD$0.044d ago
- YIELD$0.025d ago
- YIELD$0.036d ago
- YIELD$0.027d ago
- YIELD$0.038d ago
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Timberwolves$9.818d ago
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$52.528d ago
- REDEEMWild vs. Senators$16.108d ago
- REDEEMBruins vs. Lightning$78.958d ago
- YIELD$0.039d ago
- YIELD$0.0310d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $23.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 35d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
