Unsightly-Seashore
0xb26b89859530bf7bd45d13fc347e6b291fcb3266
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$100.00
Total PnL
$-14.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
51 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.6¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$50.13
$0.13
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
52 shares @ 96.3¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.87
$-0.13
- KINGS
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
22281 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.7K
- OVER
Cavaliers vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5
7000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.5K
- MAGIC
Magic vs. Celtics
139 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-117.76
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?
38 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Hornets
20 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$50.00Jul 24, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$50.00Jul 24, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$2.33Jul 24, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$104.17Jul 24, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$2.00May 30, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$100.00May 30, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$101.83May 30, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$100.08May 9, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$49.04May 9, 19:57 UTC
- REDEEMPorsche Tennis Grand Prix, Qualification: Vera Zvonareva vs Gabriela Knutson$51.50Apr 13, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Celtics$118.29Apr 12, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYPorsche Tennis Grand Prix, Qualification: Vera Zvonareva vs Gabriela Knutson$50.00Apr 12, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$50.00Feb 27, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots$14.49Feb 27, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5$18.18Feb 27, 00:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $582.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 22:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.