Present-Conception
0xb2721bb2f01656c0a1fc267224d0b2d9c041c6ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$109.63
Total PnL
$-15.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will London have less than 5mm of precipitation in May?
101 shares @ 99.4¢·now 89.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$89.75
$-10.25
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
13 shares @ 76.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.99
$0.99
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.38
$0.38
- YES
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- NO
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 75.1¢·now 75.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
3 shares @ 96.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- STRUFF
Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Otto Virtanen
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill London have less than 5mm of precipitation in May?$100.03May 18, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 15?$50.10May 18, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?$60.06May 18, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?$70.35May 18, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 15?$50.01May 14, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?$60.00May 14, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?$70.02May 14, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?$30.36May 14, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?$30.03May 12, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 10?$1.05May 12, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?$20.02May 12, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 10?$30.15May 12, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?$40.04May 12, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?$50.25May 12, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?$40.00May 10, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 10?$1.00May 10, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?$20.00May 10, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 10?$30.01May 9, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.10May 8, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 6?$30.61May 8, 08:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $28.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 03:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".