Broken-Servitude
0xb29f8d5b7bba8c53c398d54b16c9ab28dc36a8bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$174.29
Total PnL
$-150.33
Realised
$-19.92
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19?
153 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$153.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.84
$-0.06
- ENGLAND
France vs. England: Team to Win
10 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$10.29
$6.79
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
2333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?
1833 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?
1750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on February 25?
680 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.36
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 10?
565 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 9?
555 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19?$153.01Jul 18, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$3.62Jul 18, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?$74.07Jul 18, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in June?$82.08Jul 18, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in June?$82.00Jun 30, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?$74.00Jun 30, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$12.72Jun 30, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$13.71Jun 30, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$130.11Jun 30, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$129.99May 31, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.04May 31, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$7.00May 31, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$8.23May 31, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$146.26May 31, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$146.12May 30, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 28?$12.79May 30, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?$133.32May 30, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?$132.95May 29, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$10.90May 29, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?$143.86May 29, 09:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $95.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 05:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 06:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.