Aching-Pilot
0xb2b4960f81502355d3ff6f266f4355247c76a02c
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$21.65
Total PnL
$-80.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.65
$-2.35
- DOWN
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?
411 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
294 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Norway by Feburary 1?
152 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
140 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
ETHGAS FDV above $1B one day after launch?
117 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
ETHGAS FDV above $800M one day after launch?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for The United Kingdom by Feburary 1?
103 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYETHGAS FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.00Jan 21, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYETHGAS FDV above $800M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 21, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYETHGAS FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 21, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYETHGAS FDV above $400M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 21, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYETHGAS FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 21, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYETHGAS FDV above $600M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 21, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wicked: For Good win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Jan 21, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 21?$1.00Jan 21, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for The United Kingdom by Feburary 1?$1.00Jan 21, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1?$1.00Jan 21, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for France by Feburary 1?$1.00Jan 21, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Norway by Feburary 1?$1.00Jan 21, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Norway by Feburary 1?$1.00Jan 21, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Finland by Feburary 1?$1.00Jan 21, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Sweden by Feburary 1?$1.00Jan 21, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Germany by Feburary 1?$1.00Jan 21, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for The Netherlands by Feburary 1?$1.00Jan 21, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 21, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$20.00Jan 21, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$25.00Jan 21, 22:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $4.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 21:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 22:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.