Constant-Tumbler
0xb2f9122a1c60c8322d532987319aea309a37bdcf
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$549.48
Total PnL
$-423.75
Realised
$-4.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5208 shares @ 9.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$549.48
$49.48
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
709 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-78.00
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
625 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?
424 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-89.00
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?
417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
South Africa to score first vs. Mexico?
411 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
170 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-92.00
- YES
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$93.27Jun 12, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$51.84Jun 12, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$51.76Jun 12, 07:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Africa to score first vs. Mexico?$102.27Jun 11, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$80.08Jun 11, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?$82.73Jun 11, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?$182.22Jun 11, 09:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Portugal (-1.5)$204.08Jun 10, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw?$10.25Jun 10, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Portugal (-1.5)$101.53Jun 10, 11:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$513.56Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $126.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.