Virtuous-Affect
0xb326b61fa3aea3b00d02a2deb73d043a37bc43ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$106.44
Total PnL
$4.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
50 shares @ 60.0¢·now 66.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$33.04
$3.04
- NO
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
48 shares @ 41.9¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.60
$3.60
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
20 shares @ 73.5¢·now 59.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$12.16
$-2.84
- OVER
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
18 shares @ 56.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$9.20
$-0.80
- OVER
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$9.17
$-0.83
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$6.16
$1.16
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.69
$0.69
- NO
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.43
$0.43
- NO
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTotal Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?$10.13Jun 28, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTotal Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?$10.10Jun 28, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?$2.00Jun 28, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In$5.81Jun 28, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$15.28Jun 28, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$30.00Jun 28, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$20.46Jun 28, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMGame Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)$22.73Jun 28, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)$20.07Jun 23, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In$5.02Jun 23, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$5.00Jun 23, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$5.00Jun 23, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?$5.04Jun 23, 18:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $11.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 18:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 14:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.