0xb34952145f9cec10f7df9fc422ce14f173d8f38b
0xb34952145f9cec10f7df9fc422ce14f173d8f38b
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$120.59
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
495 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-50.38
- NO
Will Trump say "Zelensky" during conference with Putin on August 15?
390 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-50.70
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
314 shares @ 51.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-160.48
- NO
Will anyone say "OpenAI" during the Q4 2025 Microsoft earnings call?
302 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?
266 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2025$0.00
$-23.14
- YES
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times August 1–August 8?
263 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
250 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times August 1–August 8?
223 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times August 1–August 8?
207 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$148.97May 22, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$130.29May 20, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$51.45May 20, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$69.93May 20, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$10.43May 15, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$10.42May 15, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$31.18May 15, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$60.92May 15, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$25.37May 15, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$25.20May 15, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$76.07May 14, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$74.89May 14, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$71.54May 14, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$20.91May 14, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$93.30May 14, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$8.31May 13, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$15.43May 13, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$15.45May 13, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$15.46May 13, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$25.71May 13, 18:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $55.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 17:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 23:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.