Spectacular-Screen
0xb350097c97f0234ce542abbe83b53f839018cb85
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$320.23
Total PnL
$3.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
280 shares @ 25.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$130.20
$60.20
- YES
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
119 shares @ 42.1¢·now 44.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$52.28
$2.28
- NO
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
105 shares @ 47.8¢·now 46.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.11
$-0.89
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
47 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$39.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
61 shares @ 38.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$20.28
$-2.72
- NO
Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?
58 shares @ 26.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$17.60
$2.60
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
59 shares @ 74.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$11.00
$-33.00
- NO
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?
57 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$7.06Jul 25, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$6.60Jul 25, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?$39.62Jul 25, 12:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$50.00Jul 20, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli election results in a hung parliament?$51.16Jul 20, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?$15.44Jul 20, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$10.00Jul 20, 15:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$161.51Jul 18, 10:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $48.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.