Mature-Training
0xb3a2b47660d1a2971069042851a087d6ad19c551
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$934.08
Total PnL
$-47.2K
Realised
$561.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
5661 shares @ 35.3¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$934.08
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
95665 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-24.3K
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
21773 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-7.5K
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154
18504 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
14110 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.8K
- YES
Will Trump win 1 swing state?
8716 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104
6746 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1000.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
6667 shares @ 37.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.5K
- NO
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?
4687 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
4264 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$300.00Mar 13, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.0KMar 13, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$300.00Mar 13, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$2.0KMar 13, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$178.80Nov 6, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$500.00Nov 6, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$500.00Nov 6, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$500.00Nov 6, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$500.00Nov 6, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$500.00Nov 6, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$100.00Nov 6, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$120.00Nov 6, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$100.00Nov 6, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.0KNov 6, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.5KNov 6, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 1 swing state?$1000.00Nov 5, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?$1000.00Nov 5, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?$1000.00Nov 5, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$1000.00Nov 5, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?$1000.00Nov 5, 16:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 2, 12:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 04:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.