Happy-Dinosaur
0xb3afc711177196f4affbbe925d6d322560b884fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$17.8K
Total PnL
$675.64
Realised
$154.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
4661 shares @ 83.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.3K
$437.37
- NO
US military draft authorized in 2026?
2219 shares @ 90.1¢·now 95.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$113.72
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1689 shares @ 95.6¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$-0.84
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
1744 shares @ 87.1¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$-9.74
- NO
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
1678 shares @ 84.2¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$-11.20
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?
1221 shares @ 93.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.1K
$-17.78
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?
934 shares @ 97.4¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$909.78
$0.32
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
894 shares @ 96.7¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$862.92
$-1.44
- NO
Obama arrested before 2027?
788 shares @ 96.9¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$765.96
$2.73
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
709 shares @ 91.1¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$641.37
$-4.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYObama arrested before 2027?$194.81Jul 23, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?$92.00Jul 23, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?$3.15Jul 23, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?$27.60Jul 23, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?$36.80Jul 23, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$6.10Jul 23, 01:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Total Crypto Market Cap hit 3T in 2026?$6.27Jul 22, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?$234.23Jul 22, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?$9.60Jul 22, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?$97.69Jul 22, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?$0.15Jul 22, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?$7.80Jul 22, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?$214.50Jul 22, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?$336.00Jul 22, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? $4.04Jul 22, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? $64.34Jul 22, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?$19.37Jul 22, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$45.33Jul 22, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$45.50Jul 22, 02:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $158.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 17:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 16:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.