Bleak-Duel
0xb3d7315c78723fe5fccd6496e3155f12b0a961b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$275.91
Total PnL
$25.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
60 shares @ 85.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$59.97
$8.67
- NO
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
50 shares @ 81.6¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.13
$8.32
- NO
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 89.8¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$24.45
$-2.49
- NO
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 91.1¢·now 92.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.42
$0.21
- YES
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 62.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$12.50
$0.10
- NO
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 37.5¢·now 37.4¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$11.22
$-0.03
- YES
Will Uzbekistan finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
20 shares @ 52.5¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.10
$-0.40
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
10 shares @ 47.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.98
$5.29
- YES
Will Haiti finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
10 shares @ 77.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.24
$1.55
- NO
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 63.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$9.15
$2.85
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$0.00Jun 14, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?$0.00Jun 14, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?$0.00Jun 14, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24?$0.00Jun 14, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?$0.00Jun 14, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?$0.00Jun 14, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?$0.00Jun 14, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?$0.00Jun 14, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?$0.00Jun 14, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?$0.00Jun 14, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?$0.00Jun 14, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?$0.00Jun 14, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$0.00Jun 14, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?$0.00Jun 14, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$0.00Jun 14, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)$0.00Jun 14, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17?$0.00Jun 14, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$46.00Jun 14, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?$0.68Jun 14, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$17.20Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $12.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 02:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.