Knowing-Romance
0xb3eaceada98197a29e3b2a3dbd63b667e7f2f8cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$143.05
Total PnL
$-106.81
Realised
$-2.08
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $4B?
350 shares @ 14.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$43.73
$-5.25
- YES
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$38.00
$-12.00
- YES
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?
50 shares @ 37.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$22.00
$3.50
- YES
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?
30 shares @ 32.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.65
$1.05
- YES
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 5.1¢·now 6.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$6.19
$1.10
- YES
Will Prime Intellect launch a token by September 30, 2027?
25 shares @ 15.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2027$5.50
$1.75
- YES
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?
30 shares @ 20.6¢·now 14.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.29
$-1.89
- YES
Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026?
30 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.90
$-0.30
- YES
Will Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026?
30 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.45
$-0.15
- YES
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?
82 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.26
$-0.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPrintr FDV above $100M one day after launch?$5.43Aug 9, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026?$3.73Aug 9, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026?$4.34Aug 9, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?$9.86Aug 9, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?$6.38Aug 9, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pluralis launch a token by September 30, 2027?$12.98Aug 8, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnit FDV above $200M one day after launch?$19.31Aug 8, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYLedger IPO closing market cap above $3B?$0.66Aug 6, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chaos Labs launch a token by September 30, 2027?$1.88Aug 6, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.50 August 3-9?$0.15Aug 6, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYLedger IPO closing market cap above $4B?$8.68Aug 5, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYLedger IPO closing market cap above $4B?$14.00Aug 5, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYLedger IPO closing market cap above $4B?$14.00Aug 5, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYLedger IPO closing market cap above $4B?$12.72Aug 5, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?$3.30Aug 5, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?$0.81Aug 5, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Prime Intellect launch a token by September 30, 2027?$3.75Aug 5, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027?$50.00Aug 5, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?$17.88Aug 4, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?$88.84Aug 4, 22:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $14.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 01:01 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 22:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.