Angelic-Reasoning
0xb40d44872572ca462d08e6baba780e00af091474
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-170.45
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
590 shares @ 91.9¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$551.12
$9.04
- NO
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
345 shares @ 82.5¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$320.64
$36.30
- YES
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
418 shares @ 44.2¢·now 55.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$232.08
$47.09
- NO
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
235 shares @ 76.9¢·now 83.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$195.42
$14.27
- NO
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
185 shares @ 84.7¢·now 87.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$160.88
$4.14
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
154 shares @ 91.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$136.15
$-3.85
- NO
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
152 shares @ 89.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$123.61
$-11.39
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
139 shares @ 72.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$102.78
$2.78
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
113 shares @ 78.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$87.74
$-0.57
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
95 shares @ 84.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$78.57
$-1.43
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$43.00May 14, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$16.00May 14, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$20.34May 14, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$50.48May 14, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$115.80May 14, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$80.25May 14, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz resign by June 30?$159.99May 14, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz resign by June 30?$2.01May 14, 22:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 7, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $84.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".