Serene-Chard
0xb41eb02ad2a200cc153da405823f068df6570437
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$15.44
Total PnL
$-159.57
Realised
$-7.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.02
$1.02
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.41
$-0.59
- YES
Will Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
26 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-27?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?
17 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
17 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYZhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5$2.00Apr 17, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLNEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5$5.70Apr 12, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBeijing Guoan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5$1.00Apr 12, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5$2.00Apr 12, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5$2.00Apr 12, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBeijing Guoan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5$1.00Apr 12, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner$5.00Feb 15, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner$1.00Feb 8, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner$9.08Feb 8, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner$8.00Feb 8, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs$2.00Feb 7, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?$16.64Feb 7, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?$4.00Feb 7, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?$10.00Feb 7, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?$19.21Jan 3, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?$5.00Jan 3, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-03?$5.00Jan 3, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? $0.00Jan 3, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?$5.00Jan 3, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?$10.00Jan 3, 12:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $6.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 15:56 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 12:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".