Surprised-Ability
0xb42fe171ac4eca61fd4024574ccabc8409977068
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$5.09
Total PnL
$-10.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 97.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.06
$0.06
- NO
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 28?
5058 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?$5.10Jun 3, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?$5.10Jun 3, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?$5.10Jun 1, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?$5.10Jun 1, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 29?$5.20May 29, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 29?$5.20May 29, 00:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?$5.20May 27, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?$5.19May 27, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?$5.00May 25, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?$4.99May 25, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$6.00May 23, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$5.99May 22, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?$10.00May 22, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?$9.99May 22, 11:47 UTC
- REWARD$0.28May 21, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.52May 20, 00:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?$5.00May 19, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?$5.00May 19, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?$12.00May 18, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?$11.99May 18, 08:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $8.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 05:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 18:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".