Variable-Wastebasket
0xb44807a5d0588db4846037b322a085350f25fa7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-154.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will Anchorage win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
284 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on November 11?
284 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.72
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 16?
278 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.83
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on November 12?
275 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on November 22?
275 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-4.98
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in October 2025 (LS)?
270 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.89
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $84,000 on November 25?
268 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-4.02
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 18?
266 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.19
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on November 26?
256 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-4.09
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 24?
255 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.04
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31?$165.38Jun 1, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 1?$1.25Jun 1, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31?$163.23May 31, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 25?$1.42May 25, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 25?$2.06May 24, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 23?$135.54May 23, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 23?$130.93May 23, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill MIRA-CJL win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$18.25May 13, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 12?$2.48May 11, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 8?$2.69May 7, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 7?$147.86May 7, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 7?$146.38May 7, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 18?$148.89May 7, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$2.04Apr 27, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 20?$0.00Apr 27, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $130 on November 20?$0.00Apr 19, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 18?$145.61Apr 18, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 1?$22.93Apr 12, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 29?$126.61Apr 6, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 1?$21.05Mar 31, 20:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $37.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 15:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 03:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".