Gracious-Hardening
0xb44a2eec7376473c16131ee84bd14d18a6ec7af0
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$509.64
Total PnL
$-810.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
294 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$294.12
$94.12
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
371 shares @ 54.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$183.45
$-16.55
- NO
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
488 shares @ 20.5¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.73
$-68.27
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
39 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.33
$-9.67
- YES
Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
1514 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-99.90
- YES
Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
908 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-99.76
- YES
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?
782 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?
330 shares @ 60.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?
288 shares @ 69.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Address to the Nation?
33 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$200.00Apr 25, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$200.00Apr 25, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.00Apr 23, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$2.4KApr 9, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$300.00Apr 1, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Address to the Nation?$10.00Apr 1, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?$200.00Apr 1, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?$200.00Apr 1, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$500.00Apr 1, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$500.00Apr 1, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$100.00Mar 30, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$100.00Mar 30, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$100.00Mar 8, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?$200.00Mar 8, 01:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $201.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 01:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 22:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.