Marvelous-Obedience-Wish
0xb45194fdb0d46e8ea7128d9b5aaee04a50eacac8
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$33.17
Total PnL
$-41.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Aurora win PGL Astana 2026?
340 shares @ 5.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$17.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
738 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$10.70
$-0.77
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?
89 shares @ 3.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.22
$-0.78
- YES
Will Aurora win IEM Rio 2026?
631 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
126 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Aurora win PGL Astana 2026?$7.2012h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$6.4512h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Aurora win PGL Astana 2026?$10.2913h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$2.1317h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$15.761d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$10.441d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$68.952d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$48.822d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$0.002d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$0.002d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$3.212d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.072d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1.072d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$2.132d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$1.073d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$2.543d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.093d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.773d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.073d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$0.003d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $8.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 27d ago
- Last active
- 12h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
