Fond-Treaty
0xb464f7d54cb410926a8afd9f86d69edc42531d98
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$-12.8K
Realised
$-5.4K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
13010 shares @ 27.1¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$-1.1K
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
21635 shares @ 12.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$463.00
$-2.1K
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
20716 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.3K
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?
5708 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
4938 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-203.98
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by May 31, 2026?
3109 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
2144 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
909 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- LAKERS
Thunder vs. Lakers
900 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-171.00
- YES
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
420 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$90.00Jun 10, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$370.37Jun 10, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$16.67Jun 10, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$200.00May 21, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$33.70May 21, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$162.96May 21, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$300.00May 21, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$1.5KMay 21, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$706.37May 21, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$1.5KMay 18, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.5KMay 18, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$66.49May 18, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$154.00May 18, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$1.41May 18, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$58.39May 12, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$116.77May 12, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$144.16May 10, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$293.90May 10, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$69.88May 10, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$700.00May 8, 20:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $284.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 16:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 12:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.