Pastel-Tensor
0xb46795b7a1d00ee60feb0766591eae7b84efb25d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.05
- NO
Will Target (TGT) beat quarterly earnings?
3 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- JACKSONVILLE STATE
Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville State
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- NO
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
2 shares @ 45.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Tribute to America Rally?
1 shares @ 94.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.18
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 14, 2026?$1.03Jul 15, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 10, 2026?$1.06Jul 11, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 14, 2026?$1.02Jul 10, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 10, 2026?$1.06Jul 10, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Tribute to America Rally?$1.18Jul 5, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.38Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.02Jun 30, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$1.05Jun 29, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.07Jun 29, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.24Jun 29, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Havrylivka by May 31, 2026?$2.20Jun 29, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.02Jun 29, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.20Jun 17, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.19Jun 13, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.37Jun 13, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Havrylivka by May 31, 2026?$2.14May 30, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.07May 9, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$1.41Apr 30, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$1.56Apr 30, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill India join the Board of Peace?$1.63Apr 30, 02:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $7.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 02:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 06:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.