Jubilant-Polarization
0xb46fe585c5d843b35b7f827a293e6fdab26074cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$24.75
Total PnL
$-12.53
Realised
$0.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
35 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.82
$-0.18
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 17?
5 shares @ 96.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 17, 2026$5.13
$0.13
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 17?
4 shares @ 19.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$2.59
$1.84
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.59
$-0.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$1.05May 15, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?$1.03May 15, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 15?$1.03May 15, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?$2.37May 15, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 15?$3.23May 15, 21:18 UTC
- MERGEWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?$1.04May 15, 13:12 UTC
- MERGEWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 17?$1.32May 15, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 15?$1.00May 15, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$1.03May 15, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?$1.03May 15, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?$1.00May 15, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 15?$1.06May 15, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 15?$1.05May 15, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 17?$1.02May 15, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 14?$1.04May 15, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 15?$1.06May 15, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?$1.01May 15, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 14?$1.04May 14, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?$2.13May 14, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 14?$2.86May 14, 19:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 13:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 21:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".