Grotesque-Interviewer
0xb4841964e3f3bd4730672092d157d1f339c312db
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-211.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Abdul-Malik out as leader of Houthis by December 31?
242 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-14.54
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
202 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-96.91
- NO
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?
145 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAbdul-Malik out as leader of Houthis by December 31?$14.54Nov 2, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$14.55Nov 2, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$96.91Jul 5, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Jul 2, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$0.00Jul 2, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$40.00Jun 23, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS military action against Iran by Saturday?$41.22Jun 23, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel conflict ends before July?$100.00Jun 23, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$100.00Jun 23, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMSundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?$0.00Jun 23, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS military action against Iran before July?$295.61Jun 23, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran by Saturday?$4.00Jun 21, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran before July?$25.00Jun 20, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$50.00Jun 20, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran before July?$100.00Jun 20, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64$0.00Dec 11, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34$0.00Dec 11, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14$0.00Dec 11, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?$0.00Dec 11, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMFavorite to win on Polymarket day before election?$0.00Nov 5, 17:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $28.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 10:23 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 2, 18:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".