Black-Governance
0xb48f88eb462dfd58c31defdd9478074ae003938e
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$98.35
Total PnL
$-135.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 5?
62 shares @ 34.4¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$23.41
$1.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 5?
59 shares @ 35.1¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$20.78
$-0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 5?
60 shares @ 26.7¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$17.05
$1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 5?
53 shares @ 28.1¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$14.54
$-0.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 5?
53 shares @ 24.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$11.92
$-0.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 5?
62 shares @ 20.3¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$10.16
$-2.34
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
455 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 12?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 13?
162 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 5?$13.19Jun 4, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 5?$15.41Jun 4, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 5?$21.51Jun 4, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 4?$0.47Jun 4, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 4?$0.56Jun 4, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 5?$16.59Jun 4, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 5?$22.20Jun 4, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 5?$13.00Jun 4, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 4?$1.07Jun 4, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 4?$1.07Jun 4, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 4?$1.07Jun 4, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 27?$104.07May 28, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$17.53May 26, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 27?$16.90May 26, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$1.04May 26, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 27?$5.17May 26, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 26?$10.36May 26, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 27?$31.07May 26, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 27?$20.79May 26, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$37.83May 19, 18:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $9.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 11:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 14:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".