0xb4996fe02feea8ec9ed2b436ba16daad7f043824
0xb4996fe02feea8ec9ed2b436ba16daad7f043824
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
97
Open notional
$3.07
Total PnL
$-190.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 13-19?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.60
$0.10
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 20?
2 shares @ 97.9¢·now 96.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.47
$-0.03
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 3?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?
479 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 20?
300 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 6?
190 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 4?
77 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 20?
64 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 18-24?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 18-24?
48 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 20?$1.50Jul 14, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 13?$1.53Jul 14, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 13?$1.50Jul 13, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 13?$2.21Jul 13, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 13-19?$1.51Jul 13, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 13?$1.55Jul 13, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 13?$1.53Jul 13, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 13?$1.69Jul 13, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 13?$1.51Jul 13, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $1,900 July 6-12?$1.67Jul 13, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 13?$1.50Jul 12, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 12?$1.53Jul 12, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,900 July 6-12?$1.51Jul 11, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 11?$1.59Jul 11, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 11?$1.85Jul 11, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 12?$1.50Jul 9, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 8?$1.56Jul 9, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 8?$1.50Jul 8, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 8?$1.76Jul 8, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 11?$1.52Jul 7, 16:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 04:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 04:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.