Avaricious-Floodplain
0xb4a23f99ac4db546d2e00d7449b57c8b7bc8aab5
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$10.21
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
18 shares @ 44.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$9.18
$1.18
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
19 shares @ 56.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$-9.70
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
20041 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-300.61
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
13595 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-320.19
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
11602 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-765.72
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
4892 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-499.00
- BALTIMORE ORIOLES
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays
230 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-107.99
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?
211 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-126.76
- NO
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
177 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-108.10
- CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
115 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-61.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$150.36Jun 12, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$73.30Jun 10, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins$61.87Jun 2, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMAvalanche vs. Golden Knights$219.99May 27, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYAvalanche vs. Golden Knights$107.24May 26, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays$109.70May 19, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMIndian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad$207.24May 12, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad$103.10May 12, 02:42 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros$189.94May 6, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$126.76May 6, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros$123.46May 6, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMStars vs. Wild$230.90May 1, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStars vs. Wild$126.41Apr 30, 04:07 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.32Apr 23, 01:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.46Apr 23, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?$205.92Apr 22, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLGwangju: Ilia Simakin vs Soon-Woo Kwon$517.93Apr 22, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLGwangju: Ilia Simakin vs Soon-Woo Kwon$20.30Apr 22, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLGwangju: Ilia Simakin vs Soon-Woo Kwon$18.03Apr 22, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLGwangju: Ilia Simakin vs Soon-Woo Kwon$10.50Apr 22, 07:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $73.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 04:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 23:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.