Strange-Circumstance
0xb4b2c182ca2916eebcb478442b1b17ccf67d23fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$104.03
Total PnL
$-0.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 17?
36 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$35.86
$0.67
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 18?
30 shares @ 98.8¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$28.82
$-0.82
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on June 17?
23 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$23.11
$0.68
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on June 18?
17 shares @ 97.4¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$16.25
$-0.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 17?$14.88Jun 17, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 17?$20.35Jun 17, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on June 17?$22.46Jun 17, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on June 18?$17.04Jun 17, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 18?$29.66Jun 17, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 15?$20.00Jun 15, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 15?$25.00Jun 15, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on June 15?$25.90Jun 15, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 15?$10.00Jun 15, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on June 15?$6.19Jun 15, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 15?$9.67Jun 15, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on June 15?$19.48Jun 14, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 15?$9.90Jun 14, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 15?$24.90Jun 14, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 15?$9.81Jun 14, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?$0.00Jun 6, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$219.63Jun 5, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.00Jun 2, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$5.35Jun 2, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$13.50Jun 1, 23:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $25.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 04:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 00:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.