Brilliant-Disruption
0xb4c3c37e64a4d163d6bd371629247e355c35f427
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
143
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-390.48
Win rate
4%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 143- UCLA BRUINS
UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan Wolverines
250 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-22.50
- PANTHERS
Rams vs. Panthers
165 shares @ 42.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-69.87
- OH MY GOD
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
142 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- BROWNS
Browns vs. Bears
130 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-29.90
- OVER
Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saints: O/U 134.5
103 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-54.34
- PENGUINS
Penguins vs. Bruins
100 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-34.50
- PENGUINS
Flames vs. Penguins
86 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-43.50
- OILERS
Kings vs. Oilers
85 shares @ 61.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-51.75
- UNDER
Wizards vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5
83 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-44.03
- PANTHERS
Panthers vs. Buccaneers
68 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-28.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMPistons vs. Cavaliers$0.00May 12, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?$0.00May 12, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$20.35May 11, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?$10.21May 11, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLOeiras 4: Darwin Blanch vs Jack Pinnington Jones$31.21May 11, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYOeiras 4: Darwin Blanch vs Jack Pinnington Jones$22.07May 11, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?$0.61May 11, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$1.05May 11, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIran coup attempt by June 30?$1.43May 11, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEM76ers vs. Celtics$11.56Apr 29, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Celtics$1.06Apr 28, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$0.00Apr 28, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Celtics$1.08Apr 28, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$0.00Apr 28, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$1.04Apr 28, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$2.27Apr 28, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$0.00Apr 28, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.04Apr 28, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$0.00Apr 20, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.13Apr 20, 14:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $4.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 05:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 03:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.