Untidy-Reality
0xb4cb0b850f3f68fcd0f2f982b0cb4fe14c407c2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$6.62
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$9.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
22 shares @ 55.0¢·now 30.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.62
$-5.38
- YES
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of January 2026?
1000 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-940.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
960 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-30.85
- YES
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
350 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
200 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-14.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
100 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.55
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
100 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-15.93
- YES
Will Gold close between $3800 and $3900 at the end of 2025?
71 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$90.33Apr 28, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$91.34Apr 28, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$89.79Apr 28, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$89.88Apr 28, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$85.59Apr 28, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$85.68Apr 28, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$109.49Apr 28, 00:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 28, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$109.60Apr 27, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$89.90Apr 27, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$89.98Apr 27, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$89.37Apr 27, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$89.46Apr 27, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$95.22Apr 27, 15:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $94.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 22:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".