High-Level-Precedence
0xb4d16f0346538fccee67ffcec5c233a35d1d4c60
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$5.3K
Total PnL
$-9.2K
Realised
$1.9K
Win rate
85%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5013 shares @ 14.7¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.9K
$4.2K
- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
372 shares @ 66.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$332.94
$87.42
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
410 shares @ 30.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.05
$-79.89
- YES
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
21974 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$10.99
$-3.4K
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2553 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.28
$-433.26
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
14030 shares @ 40.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.7K
- YES
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
14030 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-750.99
- YES
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
9850 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- NO
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
8140 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
3984 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-143.97
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$253.29May 28, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$8.50May 28, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$248.86May 28, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$3.09May 28, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$4.20May 28, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$102.06May 28, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$21.32May 11, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$73.98May 11, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$120.07May 11, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$89.64May 10, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$151.32May 7, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$124.14May 6, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$178.56May 6, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$62.28May 4, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$228.87May 2, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$19.40Apr 30, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romuald Wadagni be the next President of Benin?$656.57Apr 28, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romuald Wadagni be the next President of Benin?$131.21Apr 26, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romuald Wadagni be the next President of Benin?$27.51Apr 26, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romuald Wadagni be the next President of Benin?$22.30Apr 26, 10:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $70.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 08:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 08:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.