Burdensome-Mussel
0xb4e190bc7c139abdb1eae308a73423b2074a38a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$58.65
Total PnL
$1.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 96.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.43
$0.43
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
14 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$14.09
$0.10
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 14?
11 shares @ 94.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$10.53
$0.57
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
10 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$10.46
$0.16
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
8 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$8.14
$0.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.00Apr 14, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMUS bank failure by January 31?$0.00Apr 14, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$10.31Apr 14, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?$14.00Apr 14, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$8.00Apr 14, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.00Apr 14, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 14?$10.00Apr 14, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS bank failure by January 31?$0.00Apr 14, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$15.00Apr 14, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.00Apr 14, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$7.91Apr 14, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$13.25Apr 14, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$14.44Apr 14, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$20.12Apr 14, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$14.41Mar 12, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$7.79Mar 12, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$13.21Mar 12, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$20.00Mar 12, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$15.74Mar 2, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMEvidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28?$20.28Mar 2, 06:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $14.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 07:35 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 10:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.