Lasting-Tear
0xb4e5f326adb3880c557c2e2a88cbdaa8d3b83b8c
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$1.05
Total PnL
$-49.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.05
$-0.95
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 7?
16451 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 16?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $180 on January 15?
2259 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 18?
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?$1.00May 20, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$1.02May 20, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$1.03May 20, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$1.00May 6, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estonia win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 6, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 6, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 1?$1.03May 6, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1.54May 6, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 1?$1.00Apr 30, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$1.07Apr 30, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1.03Apr 30, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 18?$1.05Apr 30, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 18?$1.00Apr 18, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 18?$1.00Apr 18, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 10?$3.01Apr 18, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 10?$1.00Apr 10, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 10?$1.00Apr 10, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 10?$1.00Apr 10, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 31?$1.00Apr 10, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 31?$1.09Apr 10, 05:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 10:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".