Unsteady-Agency
0xb4eea1c82f0c4cf7e02e69212bd447a63314cc59
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
184
Open notional
$277.51
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-1.09
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 184- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1834 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$143.97
$-3.40
- YES
Will Denis Bouanga win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?
77 shares @ 6.1¢·now 33.8¢·exp Nov 22, 2026$25.89
$21.21
- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
9 shares @ 85.7¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$8.86
$1.18
- YES
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?
125 shares @ 9.4¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.96
$-3.84
- YES
Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.99
$0.79
- YES
Will Hugo Lloris win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?
28 shares @ 5.9¢·now 14.6¢·exp Nov 22, 2026$4.07
$2.41
- YES
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 80.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.71
$0.71
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
25 shares @ 17.2¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.62
$-0.72
- NO
Will Waymo launch in Washington DC by June 30 2026?
3 shares @ 59.5¢·now 98.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.30
$1.30
- YES
Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
33 shares @ 13.5¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$2.45
$-1.95
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$108.54Jun 13, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 13, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.04Jun 13, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.68Jun 13, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?$1.06Jun 13, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?$1.25Jun 13, 06:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Son Heung-min win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?$1.15Jun 10, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.10Jun 10, 03:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bukayo Saka be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.04Jun 7, 19:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $15.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.