Smoggy-Sunglasses
0xb4f2592e67c333e73c923547cfe05e768180e5fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$115.6K
Total PnL
$-14.8K
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
85%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
11710 shares @ 60.1¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.8K
$3.7K
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
10779 shares @ 83.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$10.5K
$1.6K
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
10271 shares @ 36.8¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.1K
$5.4K
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
9114 shares @ 86.4¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$9.0K
$1.1K
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
9624 shares @ 57.2¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.9K
$2.4K
- NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
7470 shares @ 84.8¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.8K
$500.18
- NO
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
6252 shares @ 73.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.7K
$1.2K
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
5212 shares @ 73.2¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.0K
$1.2K
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
5000 shares @ 90.1¢·now 96.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.8K
$297.50
- NO
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
4857 shares @ 77.8¢·now 95.2¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.6K
$841.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?$4.57Jun 12, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?$0.40Jun 8, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$127.53Jun 8, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by July 15?$4.80Jun 7, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by July 15?$36.00Jun 7, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by July 15?$210.00Jun 7, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$148.58Jun 7, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$1.26Jun 7, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$0.28Jun 7, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$61.54Jun 7, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$125.62Jun 7, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$1.25Jun 7, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$1.25Jun 7, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$1.25Jun 7, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$19.35Jun 7, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$27.65Jun 7, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$9.96Jun 7, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$247.05Jun 7, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$40.16Jun 7, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$66.78Jun 7, 20:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $180.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 15:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 10:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.