0xb4f2f0c858566fef705edf8efc1a5e9fba307862
0xb4f2f0c858566fef705edf8efc1a5e9fba307862
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$34.7K
Total PnL
$17.5K
Realised
$16.3K
Win rate
70%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
697074 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.5K
$348.54
- YES
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
558225 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.6K
$279.11
- YES
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
499992 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.2K
$250.00
- YES
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
412589 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.1K
$206.29
- YES
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
765485 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$2.7K
$382.74
- YES
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
694076 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$2.4K
$347.04
- YES
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
583787 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$2.0K
$291.89
- YES
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?
286246 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.9K
$143.41
- YES
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
670348 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.7K
$-335.17
- YES
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?
241052 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.6K
$120.77
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.