Corny-Bowl
0xb510f134a9181d3284e96925a6fcfe64375699d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.67
Total PnL
$-60.23
Realised
$6.87
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.47
$-0.53
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.20
$-0.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
178 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
150 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 20?
110 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
78 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00Jun 16, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.05Jun 14, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$2.61Jun 13, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$2.00May 23, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5.00May 23, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5.00May 23, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in May 2026?$0.95May 23, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in May 2026?$2.75May 23, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?$1.38May 23, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.00May 23, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.00May 23, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend his son's wedding?$1.04May 23, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMCanadiens vs. Hurricanes$1.33May 22, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Hurricanes$1.01May 22, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 21?$1.04May 21, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on May 20?$3.55May 21, 01:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on May 20?$0.61May 20, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 20?$1.05May 20, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 20?$1.04May 20, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 21?$5.19May 20, 08:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 13:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 22:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.