Growing-Dark
0xb51dd6cf94657967079f9a96f3296bbcfe693bc2
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$25.26
Total PnL
$-198.10
Realised
$-1.36
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will FC St. Pauli vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?
16 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2025$15.79
$12.79
- YES
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$9.09
$8.09
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
40 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.38
$-2.62
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
1857 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
644 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
226 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
170 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
125 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$3.00Jan 23, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?$5.00Jan 23, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$3.00Jan 23, 23:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$11.05Jan 23, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$4.00Jan 23, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?$4.00Jan 23, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026?$4.00Jan 23, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$1.00Jan 23, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$11.00Jan 23, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2.00Jan 7, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 7, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro trial scheduled by January 31?$3.00Jan 7, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$3.00Jan 7, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$3.00Jan 7, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 7, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$13.57Jan 7, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?$0.75Jan 7, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?$6.67Jan 7, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$13.00Oct 29, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?$1.00Oct 2, 17:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $5.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 17:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 23:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".