0xb52e2e9f842e57aff38148ebcd0ef7fb2b63d0f2
0xb52e2e9f842e57aff38148ebcd0ef7fb2b63d0f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
57
Open notional
$31.77
Total PnL
$-53.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.00
$6.00
- NO
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?
8 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$8.00
$6.16
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.40
$0.40
- NO
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
14 shares @ 14.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.31
$0.35
- NO
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
12 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.86
$-0.06
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
10 shares @ 19.1¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.50
$-0.41
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.40
$-0.60
- YES
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
183 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.19
$0.09
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
122 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.04
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.40Apr 13, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.40Apr 13, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$1.10Mar 28, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?$0.93Mar 24, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.11Mar 20, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jude Bellingham be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?$0.50Mar 18, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jude Bellingham be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?$0.31Mar 18, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?$0.56Mar 18, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?$1.03Mar 18, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.82Mar 17, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.80Mar 17, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?$1.98Mar 17, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.33Mar 17, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?$0.70Mar 17, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$0.06Mar 17, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$0.04Mar 17, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.28Mar 17, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$0.01Mar 17, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$0.03Mar 17, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$0.03Mar 17, 02:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 23:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 14:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.