Drafty-Dog
0xb53265f82ce244d4517747500c2991c5abeb84a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$11.57
Total PnL
$-33.4K
Realised
$-113.85
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
92 shares @ 54.2¢·now 12.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$11.07
$-38.93
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1000 shares @ 64.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.50
$-642.71
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
16060 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-499.99
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
15415 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?
14887 shares @ 33.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- NO
Trump wins every swing state?
12734 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more?
12592 shares @ 31.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-4.0K
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?
11432 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary?
11362 shares @ 30.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.5K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?
8333 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$37.00Jun 9, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$73.99Jun 9, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$217.53Jun 9, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$221.97Jun 9, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$404.28Jun 2, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.2KJun 2, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.44Jun 2, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?$211.27Jun 2, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$260.49Jun 2, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $86,000 November 17-23?$535.71Jun 2, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,700 November 17-23?$1.0KJun 2, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?$1.5KJun 2, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$200.00Jan 6, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$57.31Dec 23, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$150.00Dec 23, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?$50.00Dec 20, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?$150.00Dec 20, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$200.00Dec 20, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,700 November 17-23?$400.00Nov 21, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $86,000 November 17-23?$300.00Nov 19, 19:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $633.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 21:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 18:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.