Fresh-Angora
0xb5454dfe5c2bfa775d9815ab4035753504869d97
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$68.56
Total PnL
$55.33
Realised
$0.17
Win rate
100%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 22?
25 shares @ 0.1¢·now 84.9¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$21.21
$21.19
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 on June 21?
25 shares @ 0.1¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$11.12
$11.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 22?
25 shares @ 0.1¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$7.12
$7.10
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 22?
18 shares @ 0.1¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$5.92
$5.90
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 22?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$5.15
$5.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or below on June 22?
25 shares @ 0.1¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$4.87
$4.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 22?
25 shares @ 0.1¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$2.50
$2.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 22?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.97
$0.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 22?
25 shares @ 0.1¢·now 2.7¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.68
$0.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 22?
25 shares @ 0.1¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.49
$0.46
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 22?$0.01Jun 22, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY$0.01Jun 22, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 22?$0.17Jun 22, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 22?$0.01Jun 22, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 22?$0.03Jun 22, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 22?$0.01Jun 22, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?$0.01Jun 22, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?$0.01Jun 22, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 22?$0.02Jun 22, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$0.02Jun 22, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 22?$0.02Jun 22, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C or higher on June 22?$0.03Jun 22, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 22?$0.02Jun 22, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 22?$0.03Jun 22, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 22?$0.03Jun 22, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 22?$0.03Jun 22, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$0.03Jun 22, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00Jun 22, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$0.02Jun 22, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$0.03Jun 22, 08:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 08:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 09:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.