Idle-Substitution
0xb5530649a1280d2fa40babf6e2ec0c32dbf93ed9
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$17.93
Total PnL
$-3.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$1.96
$0.96
- YES
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$1.79
$0.79
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
1 shares @ 69.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will The Studio win Best Ensemble in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.14
$0.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$1.00Feb 12, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Feb 6, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $400M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 29, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Jan 22, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?$1.00Jan 6, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Studio win Best Ensemble in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?$1.00Dec 26, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?$1.00Dec 18, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?$1.00Dec 11, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.00Nov 28, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win UEFA Group E for 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Nov 28, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Baluta finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?$1.00Nov 21, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Nov 13, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$1.00Nov 7, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?$1.00Oct 30, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$1.00Oct 23, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$1.00Oct 16, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by December meeting?$1.23Oct 10, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMMLS: Will Chicago beat St. Louis City?$1.59Oct 10, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win UEFA Group E for 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Oct 10, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.00Sep 25, 08:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 05:25 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 11:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.